Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.029590 0.035108 0.040857 0.047256 0.054142 0.061296 0.069258
2025-11-16 0.019415 0.026894 0.035257 0.045111 0.056237 0.068267 0.082125
2025-11-23 0.013072 0.021301 0.031158 0.043366 0.057689 0.073644 0.092473
2025-11-30 0.009845 0.018640 0.029824 0.044224 0.061599 0.081353 0.105043
2025-12-07 0.007624 0.016773 0.029077 0.045458 0.065676 0.089036 0.117392
2025-12-14 0.006187 0.015679 0.029090 0.047443 0.070503 0.097472 0.130505
2025-12-21 0.004680 0.014128 0.028262 0.048186 0.073681 0.103864 0.141161
2025-12-28 0.004383 0.014498 0.030064 0.052309 0.081011 0.115173 0.157551
2026-01-04 0.002831 0.012229 0.027843 0.050946 0.081364 0.118036 0.163943
2026-01-11 0.002085 0.011261 0.027414 0.051897 0.084564 0.124279 0.174281
2026-01-18 0.001390 0.010114 0.026570 0.052180 0.086842 0.129348 0.183186
2026-01-25 0.000901 0.009208 0.025996 0.052767 0.089459 0.134795 0.192509
2026-02-01 0.000452 0.008074 0.024991 0.052788 0.091459 0.139661 0.201385
2026-02-08 0.000082 0.006366 0.022728 0.050832 0.090763 0.141134 0.206147
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004932 0.020682 0.049030 0.090157 0.142641 0.210890
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004451 0.020443 0.049954 0.093228 0.148772 0.221266
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004123 0.020471 0.051270 0.096822 0.155559 0.232444
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004029 0.021002 0.053383 0.101520 0.163756 0.245360
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003617 0.020733 0.054173 0.104355 0.169558 0.255316
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004102 0.022648 0.058551 0.112232 0.181850 0.273307
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003198 0.021051 0.057105 0.111897 0.183555 0.278185
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002916 0.020953 0.058114 0.115006 0.189691 0.288548
2026-04-12 NaN 0.002517 0.020456 0.058414 0.117087 0.194482 0.297230